I think the odds would depend on how big the debris field is, but for non human cargo that might be acceptable, but I have a feeling that might not be the case with people on board, in which case they would need armor.
Edit: for non human cargo it could even be an option. Armored + X payload weight for $100/kg. Unarmored $60/kg + Y payload weight. (Made up numbers)
I wasn't trying to refute what you said, I was trying to expand on your "it doesn’t prevent you from launching through them." by explaining the downsides of going through it.
It's not as simple as just going through it, there are real implications for those years.
It might not prevent launching through it, but for the years LEO is fucked, you'd need extra armor to withstand potential hits which would eat into your payload capacity.
Kessler syndrome isn't possible with these LEO constellations.
They are so low the debris would just deorbit themselves in a couple years.
It's the much much higher orbits where they stay forever that is the problem.
That's not a good thing, they'll just see this as a win and start using it even more.
Look at how great SLAM did on that article!
Sadly... being wrong is only temporary.
Kinda weird how 3 posts in this thread call/refer to him as trillionaire... doesn't seem genuine to me.
I've been enjoying my carbon steel more than cast iron. It's the same as cast iron for seasoning and non stick, but much lighter.
The power usage isn't even that much on an individual basis once it's trained, it's that they have to build these massive data centers to train and serve millions of users.
I'm not sure it's much worse than if nvidia had millions of customers using their game streaming service running on 4080s or 4090s for hours on end vs less than an hour of AI compute a day.
It'd be better if we could all just run these things locally and distribute the power and cooling needs, but the hardware is still to expensive.
You have apple with their shared GPU memory starting to give people enough graphics memory to load larger more useful models for inference, in a few more generations with better memory bandwidth and improvements, the need for these data centers for consumer inference can hopefully go down. These are low power as well.
They don't use CUDA though so aren't great at training, inference only.
It wasn't a documentary someone smuggled from the future?
That's definitely a UK/EU thing then. If you get a $5000 cellphone bill in NA because someone did long distance fraud and you have pre authorized debits set up, $5000 is coming out of your account in Canada and USA.
Edit: assuming you have 5k and or have overdraft on the account. Not sure what happens if you have less than 5k and no overdraft. Like I don't know if it'd take you to $0, or fail and charge you a insufficient fund fee.
Ballistic missles are very hard to intercept at that. There's no way there's enough missile defense to even come close to stopping them all if Russia launched them all and even only 25% worked.
Same goes for anyone if the US launched them all.