this post was submitted on 13 Dec 2025
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A national security official under Joe Biden who reviewed the document is said to have turned pale on realising Beijing had “redundancy after redundancy” for “every trick we had up our sleeve”, The New York Times reported.

Last year, Pete Hegseth, the defence secretary, said that “we lose every time” in the Pentagon’s war games against China, and predicted the Asian country’s hypersonic missiles could destroy aircraft carriers within minutes.

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[–] perestroika@slrpnk.net 3 points 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) (4 children)

An aircraft carrier was appropriate in its age - just like a tank was. But times have changed.

Regarding defense of Taiwan: it has to be mostly located on Taiwan, and has to be capable of taking out maybe 1000 vessels per day for 30 days, to defeat any hope of putting an occupying force on the island.

Lower capability may help achieve defense, but may not deter enough to avoid conflict.

Once the realization dawns that one will need (30 000 * factor of not arriving) guided weapons, so maybe around 100 000 guided weapons capable of taking out a vessel, the conclusion is obvious: if bad stuff happens, the Taiwanese will be using ground launched torpedos or maneuverable mines, and these will be literally made of "cheap IT supplies and plumbing components", because that's how you get quantity.

If the US gets involved, both sides will wreck each other's capital ships, because those cannot be hidden.

[–] Kolanaki@pawb.social 4 points 3 days ago (1 children)

both sides will wreck each other's capital ships, because those cannot be hidden.

We could always revisit the Philadelphia Experiment. 🤷‍♂️

[–] postmateDumbass@lemmy.world 2 points 3 days ago

This scenario reads towards an outcome that is more Manhattan Project than Philadelphia Experiment.

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